The Weekly Manhattan Market
Intelligence Report
FOCUS: LIQUIDITY
Issue #001 | 21 September 2023
3 Minute Read
Manhattan Median Pricing
2 BED Price
Co-ops: $1.25M
Condos: $1.92M
New Construction: $2.48M
2 BED Price per Square Foot
Co-ops: $1,028
Condos: $1,491
New Construction: $1,979
For Sellers
(market wide data for Manhattan units and neighborhoods)
Listing Success is low at 37%
[percentage of monthly listings
in contract or closed/total listings]
This has plunged to a 10-year low. We expect it to be turning higher as we head into the fall. The bottom is probably in and listing success seems poised to increase.
Historical Range: 37% - 67%
Climate Index difficult at 1.16
[contracts signed to off market ratio]
A reading below 1.20 signals a challenging market for sellers. We are back to winter 2022 lows.
Historical Range: 0.45 - 5.90
For Sellers: Buyers, now price-sensitive due to financing conditions, require aggressive price reduction strategies in response to a weakened seller's market. Optimal listing time is February, just before the peak buyer activity in March/April following the summer slowdown.
For Buyers
(market wide data for Manhattan units and neighborhoods)
Liquidity -27% from prior month
[30-day mov. avg. of Contracts Signed]
More reliable demand indicator than pending sales. Appears to bottom out (see chart). Indicates a sharp activity decline, as expected post-summer. Entering fall with a 6-8 week active market window before year-end slowdown.
Manhattan inventory is at 6,700
[up 10% from August]
As expected, supply is rebounding, offering new buyer opportunities in the coming weeks. September, usually the peak new listing month, has seen a net increase of 500 units, with 150 contracts signed and 250 listings removed from the market last week.
For Buyers: Seek listings on the market for over 90 days, track your preferred options, and emphasize value. August had 800 new listings, while September, midway through, already boasts 1,000 new listings. This presents a buyer's opportunity to bid on properties facing increased competition after a summer lull. October is shaping up to be a massive signing month.
Buyers: Liquidity bottoming here?
Sellers: Renovated units
priced 30% Higher
Outlook
Next 3 MONTHS
Favors Buyers
Next 6 MONTHS
Market will shift to favor Sellers
as liquidity and listing success increase
Next 9 MONTHS
Favors sellers with interest rate cuts on the horizon and more buyer activity
Want more specific information?
Outlook can vary depending on neighborhood, property type and size